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Precious Metals Gold Performance Matrix

Long-term historical rolling returns adjusted for Canadian Currency & Inflation (1971 — 2026)

CAD GOLD 10-YR 10-Year Horizon Metrics

Historical Profile Nominal Annual Real (Net)
Latest Trailing Period13.65%10.6%
Rolling Historical Minimum-7.2%-11.4%
Rolling Historical Median7.9%4.8%
Rolling Historical Maximum26.5%19.2%

Inflation Baseline Context: Latest 10-Yr Inflation: 3.05%

Rolling Bounds: Min: 1.30% | Median: 2.40% | Max: 8.10%

Visual Performance Review

Isolate specific underlying characteristics by swapping the structural time window.

Bar chart: gold 10-year rolling returns for Canadian investors, nominal vs real (after inflation): latest period, rolling minimum, median and maximum

💡 Noteworthy Insights

Core Identity

Sovereign Safe Haven: Gold acts primarily as a Tier-1 monetary asset. Over the long-term, its price movements track systemic risk, macro debt expansion, and monetary debasement hedges rather than industrial cycles.

Macro Mechanics

Currency Shield Protection: For Canadians, gold returns get a major boost during recessions. When equity markets slide, the CAD typically drops against the USD, making USD-denominated gold worth significantly more in local currency terms.

Horizon Stability

Stabilized Purchasing Power: While 10-year holding windows can experience drawdowns, expanding the view to a 30-year horizon reveals gold's structural stability, smoothing into a reliable 3.5% real premium above Canadian inflation.